HK50 price forecast bullish despite mixed data
Technical Analysis Summary Hang Seng Index: Buy
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
| RSI | Buy | |
| MACD | Buy | |
| Donchian Channel | Buy | |
| MA(200) | Sell | |
| Fractals | Buy | |
| Parabolic SAR | Buy |
Chart Analysis
The technical analysis of the HK50 price chart in the 4-hour timeframe shows the HK50,H4 is attempting to rebound to the 200-period moving average MA(200) which is falling still. The RSI indicator has formed a bullish divergence. We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper Donchian boundary at 24839.3. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below the lower Donchian boundary at 24020.3. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic indicator signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (24020.3) without reaching the order (24839.3) we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of -
HK50 price forecast is bullish despite recent mixed data. Will the HK50 price rebound ?
Hong Kong economic data of the last couple of weeks were mixed. Unemployment declined in August though less than forecast. And inflation declined more than expected. On the positive side the current account surplus rose in the second quarter when a decline was forecast. Thus, unemployment declined to 4.7% from 5% in July when a decline to 4.5% was expected. Inflation rate fell to 1.7% from 3.7% in July when a decline to 1.8% was expected. And current account surplus rose to H$68.5 billion from H$60.6 billion in Q1 when a decline to H$43 billion was forecast.