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USD/CNH Technical Analysis - USD/CNH Trading: 2025-07-15
USD/CNH Technical Analysis Summary
Above 7.1778
Buy Stop
Below 7.1682
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral |
| MACD | Buy |
| Donchian Channel | Buy |
| MA(200) | Sell |
| Fractals | Buy |
| Parabolic SAR | Buy |
USD/CNH Chart Analysis
USD/CNH Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of the USDCNH price chart on 4-hour timeframe shows USDCNH,H4 is retracing up toward the 200-period moving average MA(200) and is moving to test the MA(200) which is declining. We believe the bullish movement will continue after the price breaches above the upper bound of the Donchian channel at 7.1778. A level above this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below 7.1682. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal low indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Forex - USD/CNH
China’s economy grew faster than the forecast in the second quarter. Will the USDCNH price retracing up continue?
The National Bureau of Statistics reported today China’s economy grew 5.2% in the second quarter from a year earlier after 5.4% growth in first quarter when a 5.1% increase was expected. At the same time China’s industrial output growth was above forecast : China’s Industrial Production rose by 6.8% over year in June after a growth of 5.8% in May when 5.6% growth was forecast. Higher than forecast Chinese economic expansion is bullish for Chinese currency and bearish for USDCNH pair. However, the current setup is bullish for the pair. At the same time, slower than forecast growth of retail sales is a downside risk for USDCNH: the National Bureau of Statistics of China reported also that retail sales increased by 4.8% over year in June, down from 6.4% in May and slower than 5.2% increase forecast.
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